Laura PortelaIn this environment, investors often focus less on predicting the next downdraft and more on building staying power through different market regimes. Politics has also intersected with monetary policy in ways markets watch closely. Median Fed projections anticipate another 2026 cut, while investors expect two additional cuts, showing how quickly market pricing can diverge from official guidance. When more areas participate, markets often become less reliant on a single narrative to keep moving higher. The “One Big Beautiful Bill Act’s” (OBBBA’s) business stimulus measures have lifted earnings expectations, adding another reason investors watch sectors beyond mega-cap technology.
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Nvidia, Enterprise Magazine: Värde genom upplevelser which supplies the world’s best data center chips for AI development, has enjoyed a twelvefold increase in its stock price since the start of 2023, catapulting its market capitalization from $360 billion to a whopping $4.6 trillion. President Donald Trump has been in office during three major stock market drawdowns. Bond investments are also subject to interest rate risk such that when interest rates rise, the prices of bonds can decrease, and the investor can lose principal value if the investment is sold prior to maturity. The value of investments fluctuates and investors can lose some or all of their principal.
We analyse all 1,846 live segments aired between 2017 and 2024 and compare the average daily performance of the DAX on days when it was reported to its overall average daily performance. The broadcast typically features a live segment from the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, summarising the day’s most important economic news. However, the average daily performance of all six indices turns from positive to negative when weighted by daily media coverage, as illustrated in Figure 2. The orange line shows the drop in the reported DAX, which is composed of reported daily changes and an assumed change of zero on trading days without coverage. Consider Germany’s DAX stock index as reported on the country’s most-watched nightly news programme. Media consumers should be aware of the big news bias and look beyond the daily news cycle to stay informed.
At the start of 2026, the market’s tone looks healthier because equity performance is widening beyond a single theme. At the same time, elevated valuations can make the trade more sensitive to disappointment, so pullbacks can arrive quickly when investors reassess the AI spending cycle. Bill Merz, head of capital markets research for U.S. U.S. equity markets opened 2026 setting record highs following a powerful rebound from last year’s volatility.
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Rather than focusing on fear-driven narratives, many investors have emphasized earnings momentum and the staying power of consumer demand. 1 Investors watched the S&P 500 narrowly avoid a bear market last April and then regain footing as fundamentals reasserted themselves. With changes to taxes and interest rates, it’s a good time to meet with a wealth advisor.
Weekly market wrap
In addition to the new visitor center, a wide-ranging program of lectures offers you a wealth of financial and stock market knowledge. When you are thinking about investing in shares, it’s generally a good idea to consider holding them alongside other investments in a diversified portfolio of assets. When it comes to stock market reporting, media outlets should re-examine their goals. What explains why the average daily performance of the DAX on the nightly news was so much worse than the actual performance? Intuitively, sizeable downturns in the stock market are more frequent than equally large upturns.
When interest rates rise, it typically becomes more expensive to borrow money, which can slow economic activity and lead to declines in stock prices as investors adjust their expectations. Yes, stock market corrections can occur even when the economy is strong. That range and average helps distinguish corrections and bear markets from routine market volatility, such as smaller pullbacks that may not reflect a broader reassessment of growth, inflation or earnings.
- These massive investments—primarily in chips, data centers, and AI infrastructure—are supporting revenue growth for other parts of tech, like the semiconductor companies, and contributing positively to the broader economy.
- Systematic investing does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss.
- The broadcast typically features a live segment from the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, summarising the day’s most important economic news.
- Edward Jones and its independent affiliate in the United States, collectively, serve more than 7 million investors.
The plugins, released on Jan. 30, allow customers to adapt the tool for narrow sectors like legal, finance or data marketing. Such factors could keep stock prices on edge, they said, before noting the difficulty of predicting short-term stock performance. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF rose again on Tuesday, as traders continued to buy the steep selloff in software stocks. If you decide to invest, read our important investment notes first and remember that investments can go up and down in value, so you could get back less than you put in.
If you are unsure about the suitability of an investment you should speak to one of Fidelity’s advisers or an authorised financial adviser of your choice. Parham, R and R Kaniel (2016), “Media attention and investment decisions”, VoxEU.org, 6 March. Media consumers should be aware of the big news bias and that it affects even the most trusted media.
Investors instead track high-frequency alternative data to gauge consumer resilience amid gaps in official reporting. The prior shutdown already delayed key releases—such as inflation data, retail sales, housing activity and the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ employment report—and the agency announced it will delay its January employment report. Government shutdown risk returned as a potential volatility catalyst as well. Tom Hainlin, national investment strategist, U.S. Policy has played a supporting role in improving expectations for growth and earnings.
